Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +18.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Bedard wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs Crosby 56.6% (-18.7%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 74.7%
Defensive zone
Bedard 87.6%
Neutral zone
Bedard 90.7%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Bedard
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Bedard
Crosby
Last 7: Bedard 1-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Bedard
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
5
Bedard
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
4
Bedard
Crosby
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
56.2% (1,451)
-18.2%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
61.4% (293)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
55.3% (38)
+1.8%
On power play, Crosby has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Bedard shoots right. Crosby is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Bedard
Crosby
Home
40.5% (316)
59.1% (939)
Away
36.2% (340)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Bedard
Crosby
P1
37.2%
54.9%
P2
36.9%
60.8%
P3
40.7%
55.4%
OT
50.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
43.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 03:58 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:20 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |