Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +19.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Crosby 57.8% (-19.3%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 76.9%
Defensive zone
Bedard 86.0%
Neutral zone
Bedard 89.1%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Bedard
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Bedard
Crosby
Last 10: Bedard 1-9 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Bedard
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Bedard
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
4
Bedard
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
57.8% (1,437)
-18.9%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
60.9% (381)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
50.0% (54)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Bedard shoots right. Crosby is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Bedard
Crosby
Home
40.2% (246)
59.2% (985)
Away
37.8% (286)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Bedard
Crosby
P1
39.9%
57.3%
P2
38.5%
59.5%
P3
39.0%
58.5%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |