Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs Blueger 50.2% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 92.1%
Defensive zone
Bedard 83.7%
Neutral zone
Bedard 90.6%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Bedard
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Bedard
Blueger
Last 6: Bedard 0-6 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Bedard
Blueger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
2
Bedard
Blueger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
3
Bedard
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
53.3% (745)
-15.3%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
45.5% (11)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
41.7% (259)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Bedard shoots right. Blueger is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Home / Away
Bedard
Blueger
Home
40.5% (316)
53.4% (504)
Away
36.2% (340)
47.2% (511)
By Period
Bedard
Blueger
P1
37.2%
46.6%
P2
36.9%
53.0%
P3
40.7%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |