Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Bedard wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.3% vs Blueger 50.0% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Blueger leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 94.4%
Defensive zone
Bedard 58.2%
Neutral zone
Bedard 79.5%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Bedard
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Bedard
Blueger
Last 10: Bedard 4-6 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
1
Bedard
Blueger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
2
Bedard
Blueger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
2
5
Bedard
Blueger
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (1,580)
52.3% (3,540)
-12.2%
Power Play
51.9% (77)
50.0% (76)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
42.6% (1,100)
+7.4%
On even strength, Blueger has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Bedard is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,213).
Bedard shoots right. Blueger is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,516).
Home / Away
Bedard
Blueger
Home
43.3% (785)
51.4% (2,403)
Away
38.5% (896)
48.6% (2,313)
By Period
Bedard
Blueger
P1
39.0%
49.2%
P2
40.7%
52.3%
P3
42.6%
48.5%
OT
42.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |