Scouting Report
Connor Bunnaman holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bunnaman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bunnaman wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bunnaman 51.7% vs Larkin 52.1% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 63.5%
Defensive zone
Bunnaman 65.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 56.4%
Result
Connor Bunnaman favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Bunnaman
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Bunnaman
Larkin
Last 6: Bunnaman 3-3 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
2
Bunnaman
Larkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bunnaman
3
0
Bunnaman
Larkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Bunnaman
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bunnaman
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (98)
51.8% (903)
+3.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
56.0% (225)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
47.4% (76)
-14.1%
On power play, Larkin has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Bunnaman is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Bunnaman shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Bunnaman
Larkin
Home
54.7% (53)
55.6% (662)
Away
51.9% (54)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Bunnaman
Larkin
P1
52.8%
49.9%
P2
53.7%
52.7%
P3
53.3%
53.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bunnaman
52.0%▼
54.5%
53.3%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Connor Bunnaman |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Connor Bunnaman |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Connor Bunnaman |