Connor Bunnaman vs Dylan Larkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bunnaman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bunnaman wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bunnaman 48.9% vs Larkin 52.7% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 70.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 55.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 68.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Bunnaman
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Bunnaman
Larkin
Last 7: Bunnaman 4-3 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
2
Bunnaman
Larkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bunnaman
3
0
Bunnaman
Larkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bunnaman
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bunnaman
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (290)
51.7% (9,019)
-2.4%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
58.5% (2,125)
-46.0%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
50.2% (1,122)
+5.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +46.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Bunnaman is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (175).
Bunnaman shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Home / Away
Bunnaman
Larkin
Home
49.0% (145)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
48.1% (162)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Bunnaman
Larkin
P1
47.4%
52.7%
P2
51.8%
53.1%
P3
45.9%
52.1%
Final 5 min
48.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bunnaman
52.0%▼
54.5%
48.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Connor Bunnaman |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Connor Bunnaman |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Connor Bunnaman |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |