Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zucker on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dewar wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zucker shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.7% vs Zucker 43.4% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zucker 86.1%
Defensive zone
Dewar 75.8%
Neutral zone
Zucker 67.6%
Result
Jason Zucker favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Dewar
Zucker
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dewar
Zucker
Last 6: Dewar 2-4 Zucker
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zucker
0
3
Dewar
Zucker
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
Zucker
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zucker
0
1
Dewar
Zucker
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Zucker
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (28)
51.7% (29)
+1.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
32.5% (83)
+67.5%
On power play, Dewar has a +67.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zucker shoots left. Dewar is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Dewar shoots left. Zucker is 35.9% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Dewar
Zucker
Home
42.1% (19)
45.2% (62)
Away
44.4% (36)
28.0% (50)
By Period
Dewar
Zucker
P1
52.6%
48.9%
P2
31.8%
29.7%
P3
53.8%
28.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
43.6%
Zucker
42.0%▲
37.0%
37.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Jason Zucker |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Zucker |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Jason Zucker |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Jason Zucker |