Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zucker on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dewar wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zucker shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Zucker 37.7% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zucker 89.6%
Defensive zone
Dewar 79.7%
Neutral zone
Zucker 66.5%
Result
Jason Zucker favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Dewar
Zucker
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dewar
Zucker
Last 6: Dewar 2-4 Zucker
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zucker
0
3
Dewar
Zucker
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
Zucker
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zucker
0
1
Dewar
Zucker
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Zucker
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,008)
33.5% (200)
+11.9%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
36.4% (173)
+24.5%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (194)
0.0% (4)
+41.8%
On penalty kill, Dewar has a +41.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zucker shoots left. Dewar is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Dewar shoots left. Zucker is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Dewar
Zucker
Home
43.4% (588)
36.3% (190)
Away
46.8% (637)
32.6% (187)
By Period
Dewar
Zucker
P1
43.9%
39.0%
P2
47.1%
26.8%
P3
44.3%
38.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
30.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Zucker
42.0%▲
37.0%
34.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Jason Zucker |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Zucker |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Jason Zucker |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Jason Zucker |