Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dewar wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.1% vs McTavish 43.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 50.6%
Defensive zone
Dewar 71.4%
Neutral zone
Dewar 61.5%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Dewar
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dewar
McTavish
Last 5: Dewar 4-1 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
McTavish
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
McTavish
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
1
Dewar
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (443)
42.4% (675)
+3.0%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
40.5% (42)
+34.5%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
50.0% (8)
-21.2%
On power play, Dewar has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Dewar is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Dewar shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Dewar
McTavish
Home
43.3% (238)
41.9% (372)
Away
44.9% (265)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Dewar
McTavish
P1
41.7%
47.2%
P2
46.1%
36.2%
P3
44.4%
43.6%
Final 5 min
44.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.1%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 16:03 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 03:43 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 18:25 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |