Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dewar wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs McTavish 48.7% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Dewar leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 85.8%
Defensive zone
McTavish 50.2%
Neutral zone
McTavish 68.6%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Dewar
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Dewar
McTavish
Last 10: Dewar 8-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
3
1
Dewar
McTavish
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
3
1
Dewar
McTavish
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,008)
48.2% (2,788)
-2.8%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
52.6% (435)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (194)
34.3% (35)
+7.5%
On power play, Dewar has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Dewar is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Dewar shoots left. McTavish is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,155).
Home / Away
Dewar
McTavish
Home
43.4% (588)
49.8% (1,678)
Away
46.8% (637)
47.4% (1,580)
By Period
Dewar
McTavish
P1
43.9%
50.0%
P2
47.1%
47.8%
P3
44.3%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 11:45 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:17 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 16:03 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 03:43 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 18:25 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |