Scouting Report
Nathan Walker holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Walker on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dewar wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Walker shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.1% vs Walker 52.3% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 57.7%
Defensive zone
Dewar 68.5%
Neutral zone
Dewar 60.0%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Dewar
Walker
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Dewar
Walker
Last 8: Dewar 3-5 Walker
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Walker
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Walker
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Walker
1
3
Dewar
Walker
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Walker
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (443)
54.5% (165)
-9.1%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
50.0% (2)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
40.0% (10)
-11.2%
On power play, Dewar has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Walker shoots left. Dewar is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Dewar shoots left. Walker is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Dewar
Walker
Home
43.3% (238)
57.7% (111)
Away
44.9% (265)
47.0% (66)
By Period
Dewar
Walker
P1
41.7%
61.2%
P2
46.1%
45.2%
P3
44.4%
56.1%
Final 5 min
44.4%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.1%
Walker
52.0%▼
56.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Nathan Walker |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Nathan Walker |