Scouting Report
Nathan Walker holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Walker on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dewar wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Walker shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Walker 51.6% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Walker 51.8%
Defensive zone
Dewar 75.2%
Neutral zone
Dewar 62.8%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Dewar
Walker
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Dewar
Walker
Last 8: Dewar 3-5 Walker
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Walker
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Walker
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Walker
1
3
Dewar
Walker
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Walker
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,008)
52.7% (452)
-7.3%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
45.5% (11)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (194)
44.4% (36)
-2.6%
On power play, Dewar has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Walker shoots left. Dewar is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Dewar shoots left. Walker is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Dewar
Walker
Home
43.4% (588)
52.7% (296)
Away
46.8% (637)
50.7% (203)
By Period
Dewar
Walker
P1
43.9%
58.4%
P2
47.1%
47.4%
P3
44.3%
50.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Walker
52.0%▼
56.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Nathan Walker |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Nathan Walker |