Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aman on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dewar wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aman shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.5% vs Aman 47.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aman 67.0%
Defensive zone
Dewar 61.8%
Neutral zone
Dewar 54.0%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Dewar
Aman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dewar
Aman
Last 5: Dewar 2-3 Aman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Aman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aman
1
2
Dewar
Aman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Aman
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (331)
45.3% (150)
+0.9%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
0.0% (2)
+45.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
66.7% (6)
-16.7%
On power play, Dewar has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aman shoots left. Dewar is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Dewar shoots left. Aman is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Dewar
Aman
Home
43.9% (189)
40.6% (64)
Away
49.3% (221)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Dewar
Aman
P1
50.4%
52.0%
P2
50.0%
43.9%
P3
40.8%
41.2%
Final 5 min
52.0%
30.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 02:05 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 05:16 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Nils Aman |