Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Aman on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dewar wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aman shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Aman 41.1% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aman 69.5%
Defensive zone
Aman 50.8%
Neutral zone
Aman 50.2%
Result
Nils Aman favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Dewar
Aman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dewar
Aman
Last 5: Dewar 2-3 Aman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Aman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aman
1
2
Dewar
Aman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Aman
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,008)
40.2% (664)
+5.2%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
33.3% (9)
+27.6%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (194)
34.3% (35)
+7.5%
On power play, Dewar has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aman shoots left. Dewar is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Dewar shoots left. Aman is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Dewar
Aman
Home
43.4% (588)
39.6% (341)
Away
46.8% (637)
40.1% (367)
By Period
Dewar
Aman
P1
43.9%
41.9%
P2
47.1%
42.1%
P3
44.3%
35.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
36.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 02:05 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 05:16 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Nils Aman |