Connor Dewar vs Zemgus Girgensons
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 46.0% vs Girgensons 48.5% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 59.0%
Defensive zone
Dewar 72.2%
Neutral zone
Dewar 55.5%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Dewar
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dewar
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Dewar
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (92)
47.2% (127)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (31)
50.0% (2)
-1.6%
On even strength, Girgensons has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Dewar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Dewar shoots left. Girgensons is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Dewar
Girgensons
Home
41.0% (78)
50.0% (80)
Away
45.7% (46)
42.9% (49)
By Period
Dewar
Girgensons
P1
38.9%
40.5%
P2
53.3%
54.3%
P3
34.9%
45.7%
Final 5 min
42.9%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
42.7%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |