Connor Dewar vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.6% vs 43.5%). Dewar wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.7% vs Girgensons 45.8% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 53.9%
Defensive zone
Dewar 52.0%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 53.2%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Dewar
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (28)
43.2% (146)
+10.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
44.8% (29)
-14.0%
On power play, Dewar has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Dewar is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Dewar shoots left. Girgensons is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Dewar
Girgensons
Home
42.1% (19)
40.3% (72)
Away
44.4% (36)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Dewar
Girgensons
P1
52.6%
43.8%
P2
31.8%
44.6%
P3
53.8%
42.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
43.6%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%