Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 49.4% vs McDavid 47.0% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 59.3%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 88.1%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 78.1%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Soderberg
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Soderberg
McDavid
Last 5: Soderberg 4-1 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
1
0
Soderberg
McDavid
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
1
0
Soderberg
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
1
Soderberg
McDavid
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (755)
46.9% (862)
+3.6%
Power Play
55.0% (80)
42.1% (38)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (235)
44.4% (18)
-0.6%
On power play, Soderberg has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Soderberg is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Soderberg shoots left. McDavid is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Soderberg
McDavid
Home
50.1% (555)
47.9% (478)
Away
48.5% (515)
45.2% (440)
By Period
Soderberg
McDavid
P1
49.9%
45.9%
P2
45.5%
47.7%
P3
52.2%
46.6%
OT
55.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
49.3%
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 16:42 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |