Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Sissons wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.2% vs McDavid 51.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 86.1%
Defensive zone
Sissons 58.9%
Neutral zone
McDavid 70.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 86.1%
13.9%
86.1%
Sissons
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Sissons
McDavid
Last 6: Sissons 0-6 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
6
Sissons
McDavid
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (713)
51.5% (889)
+5.6%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
63.9% (36)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (351)
51.2% (86)
-4.8%
On power play, McDavid has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Sissons is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Sissons shoots right. McDavid is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Sissons
McDavid
Home
54.8% (569)
50.7% (513)
Away
52.1% (539)
53.2% (498)
By Period
Sissons
McDavid
P1
56.1%
52.3%
P2
49.6%
51.6%
P3
54.8%
51.7%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.5%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 01:52 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |