Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McDavid wins 41.7% vs right-shot opponents — Krejci shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 43.9% vs Krejci 51.4% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 70.3%
Defensive zone
Krejci 77.0%
Neutral zone
Krejci 65.7%
Result
David Krejci favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
McDavid
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McDavid
Krejci
Last 6: McDavid 4-2 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
1
McDavid
Krejci
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Krejci
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (750)
51.1% (1,151)
-7.8%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
61.2% (85)
-21.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (31)
44.2% (43)
-2.3%
On power play, Krejci has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. McDavid is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (331).
McDavid shoots left. Krejci is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (881).
Home / Away
McDavid
Krejci
Home
48.7% (413)
52.2% (619)
Away
37.4% (393)
50.9% (660)
By Period
McDavid
Krejci
P1
38.8%
46.1%
P2
46.8%
54.4%
P3
44.2%
53.2%
OT
45.5%
72.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
43.2%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 18:37 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 06:29 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |