Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Krejci 50.9% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Krejci 64.1%
Defensive zone
Krejci 51.9%
Neutral zone
Krejci 59.4%
Result
David Krejci favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
McDavid
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
McDavid
Krejci
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
6
3
McDavid
Krejci
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Krejci
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
4
McDavid
Krejci
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
50.6% (9,657)
-2.9%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
55.3% (1,027)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
48.8% (469)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,105).
McDavid shoots left. Krejci is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,616).
Home / Away
McDavid
Krejci
Home
49.3% (4,570)
53.1% (5,660)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
48.7% (5,517)
By Period
McDavid
Krejci
P1
46.5%
50.7%
P2
48.7%
51.8%
P3
48.3%
50.2%
OT
40.9%
53.0%
Final 5 min
50.1%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 2 | 11:38 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Nov 26, 2017 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 26, 2017 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 26, 2017 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 26, 2017 | 2 | 15:31 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 18:37 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 06:29 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |