Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Krejci shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Krejci 47.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 64.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 84.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 75.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
McDavid
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
McDavid
Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Krejci
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Krejci
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
47.2% (669)
+4.3%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
53.7% (54)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
35.3% (17)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. McDavid is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (357).
McDavid shoots left. Krejci is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Home / Away
McDavid
Krejci
Home
50.7% (513)
52.0% (381)
Away
53.2% (498)
42.6% (359)
By Period
McDavid
Krejci
P1
52.3%
47.2%
P2
51.6%
43.7%
P3
51.7%
51.9%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |