Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.0%). Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 49.6% vs Staal 49.1% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 56.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 50.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
McDavid
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
McDavid
Staal
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
McDavid
Staal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (621)
49.3% (485)
-0.2%
Power Play
78.6% (14)
50.0% (58)
+28.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
0.0% (4)
+0.0%
On power play, McDavid has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. McDavid is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (456).
McDavid shoots left. Staal is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
McDavid
Staal
Home
56.1% (330)
51.7% (265)
Away
42.5% (308)
46.5% (282)
By Period
McDavid
Staal
P1
49.2%
52.7%
P2
47.4%
48.3%
P3
53.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 09:42 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |