Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Staal 46.6% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 78.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 55.9%
Neutral zone
McDavid 59.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
McDavid
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McDavid
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
49.6% (565)
+1.9%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
35.0% (20)
+28.9%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
35.4% (158)
+15.8%
On power play, McDavid has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Home / Away
McDavid
Staal
Home
50.7% (513)
46.1% (380)
Away
53.2% (498)
46.3% (363)
By Period
McDavid
Staal
P1
52.3%
45.7%
P2
51.6%
46.2%
P3
51.7%
46.5%
Final 5 min
56.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |