Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Staal 50.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 51.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 55.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
McDavid
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
17
(32 meetings)
15
17
McDavid
Staal
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
8
McDavid
Staal
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
6
2
McDavid
Staal
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
7
McDavid
Staal
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
50.5% (10,347)
-2.8%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
53.5% (2,023)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
44.2% (781)
-0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Home / Away
McDavid
Staal
Home
49.3% (4,570)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
McDavid
Staal
P1
46.5%
50.0%
P2
48.7%
51.1%
P3
48.3%
50.4%
OT
40.9%
55.2%
Final 5 min
50.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 09:42 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 17:50 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 06:58 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |