Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Rodrigues 49.6% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 51.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 61.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 53.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
McDavid
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McDavid
Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Rodrigues
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
54.4% (180)
-2.9%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
32.0% (25)
+31.9%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
36.1% (36)
+15.1%
On power play, McDavid has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. McDavid is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (357).
McDavid shoots left. Rodrigues is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
McDavid
Rodrigues
Home
50.7% (513)
47.9% (119)
Away
53.2% (498)
50.8% (122)
By Period
McDavid
Rodrigues
P1
52.3%
53.8%
P2
51.6%
51.9%
P3
51.7%
43.2%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
51.9%
Rodrigues
44.0%▬
44.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |