Connor McDavid vs Jason Dickinson

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jason Dickinson holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McDavid wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McDavid 47.9% vs Dickinson 49.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone McDavid 80.3%
Defensive zone Dickinson 73.0%
Neutral zone McDavid 54.8%
Result Jason Dickinson favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
McDavid Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 6 (9 meetings)
3
6
McDavid Dickinson
Last 9: McDavid 3-6 Dickinson

Zone Breakdown

Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid Dickinson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
4
McDavid Dickinson
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McDavid
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (650)
51.8% (643)
-4.3%
Power Play
48.6% (72)
66.7% (9)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
38.7% (150)
+7.8%
On power play, Dickinson has a +18.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. McDavid is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (554).
McDavid shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Home / Away
McDavid
Dickinson
Home
50.2% (400)
48.7% (419)
Away
44.7% (365)
50.4% (383)
By Period
McDavid
Dickinson
P1
47.5%
42.6%
P2
48.6%
55.0%
P3
46.7%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
44.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%
50.0%
47.6%
Dickinson
50.0%
47.5%
49.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 12, 2026 3 14:46 Neutral Jason Dickinson
Jan 12, 2026 3 08:29 Defensive Connor McDavid
Jan 12, 2026 3 03:53 Defensive Connor McDavid
Jan 12, 2026 3 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Jan 12, 2026 2 00:00 Neutral Jason Dickinson
Jan 12, 2026 1 14:08 Defensive Jason Dickinson
Jan 12, 2026 1 08:30 Defensive Jason Dickinson
Jan 12, 2026 1 00:09 Neutral Jason Dickinson
Jan 12, 2026 1 00:00 Neutral Jason Dickinson