Who wins more faceoffs, Connor McDavid or Jason Dickinson?

Jason Dickinson leads the head-to-head 6-3 across 9 faceoffs.

What is Connor McDavid's faceoff record against Jason Dickinson?

Connor McDavid is 3-6 against Jason Dickinson in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Defensive 2-2, Neutral 1-4.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Connor McDavid or Jason Dickinson?

Jason Dickinson is the predicted winner with a 57.6% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Connor McDavid vs Jason Dickinson

Connor McDavidL vs Jason DickinsonL

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Jason Dickinson holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McDavid wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) McDavid 47.9% vs Dickinson 49.6% (-1.9%)

H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone McDavid 80.3%

Defensive zone Dickinson 73.0%

Neutral zone McDavid 54.8%

Result Jason Dickinson favored at 57.6%

42.4%

57.6%

McDavid Dickinson

Head-to-Head Record

3 - 6 (9 meetings)

McDavid Dickinson

Last 9: McDavid 3-6 Dickinson

Zone Breakdown

Defensive Zone

Even

McDavid Dickinson

4 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Dickinson

McDavid Dickinson

5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

McDavid

Dickinson

Edge

Even Strength

47.5% (650)

51.8% (643)

-4.3%

Power Play

48.6% (72)

66.7% (9)

-18.1%

Penalty Kill

46.5% (43)

38.7% (150)

+7.8%

On power play, Dickinson has a +18.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Dickinson shoots left. McDavid is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (554).

McDavid shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (542).

Home / Away

McDavid

Dickinson

Home

50.2% (400)

48.7% (419)

Away

44.7% (365)

50.4% (383)

By Period

McDavid

Dickinson

47.5%

42.6%

48.6%

55.0%

46.7%

50.0%

33.3%

60.0%

Final 5 min

51.3%

44.1%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

McDavid

50.0%▬

50.0%

47.6%

Dickinson

50.0%▲

47.5%

49.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Jan 12, 2026	3	14:46	Neutral	Jason Dickinson
Jan 12, 2026	3	08:29	Defensive	Connor McDavid
Jan 12, 2026	3	03:53	Defensive	Connor McDavid
Jan 12, 2026	3	00:00	Neutral	Connor McDavid
Jan 12, 2026	2	00:00	Neutral	Jason Dickinson
Jan 12, 2026	1	14:08	Defensive	Jason Dickinson
Jan 12, 2026	1	08:30	Defensive	Jason Dickinson
Jan 12, 2026	1	00:09	Neutral	Jason Dickinson
Jan 12, 2026	1	00:00	Neutral	Jason Dickinson

McDavid's Profile | Dickinson's Profile