Connor McDavid vs Jason Dickinson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Dickinson 50.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 81.1%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 67.4%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 51.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
McDavid
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
McDavid
Dickinson
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
1
McDavid
Dickinson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
2
McDavid
Dickinson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
4
McDavid
Dickinson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
51.2% (912)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
63.8% (58)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
42.9% (266)
-6.5%
On power play, Dickinson has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Dickinson is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Home / Away
McDavid
Dickinson
Home
51.8% (415)
52.9% (664)
Away
50.4% (450)
46.7% (572)
By Period
McDavid
Dickinson
P1
47.5%
49.0%
P2
51.6%
48.3%
P3
55.5%
52.5%
OT
50.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:39 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:27 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:32 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |