Connor McDavid vs Jason Dickinson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Dickinson 48.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 69.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 53.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 58.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
McDavid
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
McDavid
Dickinson
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Dickinson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Dickinson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
3
McDavid
Dickinson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
48.6% (626)
+2.9%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
44.0% (25)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
44.2% (120)
+7.0%
On power play, McDavid has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Dickinson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
McDavid
Dickinson
Home
50.7% (513)
45.4% (368)
Away
53.2% (498)
49.9% (403)
By Period
McDavid
Dickinson
P1
52.3%
49.2%
P2
51.6%
46.3%
P3
51.7%
48.1%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 08:29 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 12:56 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 04:46 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |