Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 49.6% vs Beagle 54.7% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 83.7%
Defensive zone
Beagle 63.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 54.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
McDavid
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McDavid
Beagle
Last 5: McDavid 2-3 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
2
McDavid
Beagle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (621)
59.0% (212)
-9.9%
Power Play
78.6% (14)
50.0% (2)
+28.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
50.0% (94)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. McDavid is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (182).
McDavid shoots left. Beagle is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
McDavid
Beagle
Home
56.1% (330)
57.9% (171)
Away
42.5% (308)
54.0% (137)
By Period
McDavid
Beagle
P1
49.2%
53.3%
P2
47.4%
61.5%
P3
53.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
51.3%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2021 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 3 | 01:53 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 04:21 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |