Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Beagle 56.7% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 19-13 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 90.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 66.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 83.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
McDavid
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
19
(32 meetings)
13
19
McDavid
Beagle
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
8
3
McDavid
Beagle
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
11
McDavid
Beagle
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
5
McDavid
Beagle
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
57.5% (4,994)
-9.8%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
60.5% (119)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
54.2% (1,554)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,105).
McDavid shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
McDavid
Beagle
Home
49.3% (4,570)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
McDavid
Beagle
P1
46.5%
57.4%
P2
48.7%
57.1%
P3
48.3%
56.2%
OT
40.9%
41.3%
Final 5 min
50.1%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 05:30 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 01:22 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 3 | 01:53 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 04:21 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 11:15 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 18:59 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |