Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Beagle 55.9% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 76.2%
Defensive zone
Beagle 73.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.0%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
McDavid
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
McDavid
Beagle
Last 7: McDavid 4-3 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Beagle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
2
McDavid
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
57.2% (353)
-2.9%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
87.5% (16)
-42.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
51.6% (95)
-18.3%
On power play, Beagle has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
McDavid shoots left. Beagle is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
McDavid
Beagle
Home
53.6% (507)
62.0% (200)
Away
53.8% (539)
53.4% (264)
By Period
McDavid
Beagle
P1
52.6%
55.8%
P2
54.1%
60.1%
P3
54.9%
54.5%
OT
44.4%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
63.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 05:30 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 01:22 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |