Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McDavid wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 43.9% vs Couture 40.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 54.2%
Defensive zone
Couture 68.6%
Neutral zone
Couture 59.8%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
McDavid
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
McDavid
Couture
Last 6: McDavid 2-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
McDavid
Couture
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
2
McDavid
Couture
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Couture
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (750)
39.9% (690)
+3.4%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
44.4% (9)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (31)
33.3% (54)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. McDavid is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
McDavid shoots left. Couture is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Home / Away
McDavid
Couture
Home
48.7% (413)
41.3% (368)
Away
37.4% (393)
37.7% (385)
By Period
McDavid
Couture
P1
38.8%
40.1%
P2
46.8%
38.4%
P3
44.2%
40.5%
OT
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
43.2%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Logan Couture |