Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Couture 49.0% (+3.2%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 60.2%
Defensive zone
Couture 51.9%
Neutral zone
McDavid 55.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
McDavid
Couture
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
44.9% (78)
+6.7%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
57.1% (7)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
63.6% (11)
-27.2%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Couture is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
McDavid
Couture
Home
51.8% (415)
45.2% (62)
Away
50.4% (450)
52.9% (34)
By Period
McDavid
Couture
P1
47.5%
55.2%
P2
51.6%
44.4%
P3
55.5%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%