Connor McDavid vs Macklin Celebrini
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.2%). McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Celebrini 48.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 51.5%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 51.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.5%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
McDavid
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
McDavid
Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Celebrini
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
2
McDavid
Celebrini
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Celebrini
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
47.2% (901)
+0.5%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
54.7% (139)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
54.5% (11)
-32.3%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Celebrini is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Home / Away
McDavid
Celebrini
Home
47.3% (387)
47.6% (553)
Away
48.1% (389)
49.0% (498)
By Period
McDavid
Celebrini
P1
47.6%
46.6%
P2
50.0%
46.4%
P3
45.0%
51.8%
Final 5 min
46.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
47.7%
Celebrini
44.0%▼
52.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 16:01 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |