Connor McDavid vs Macklin Celebrini

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.5%). Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McDavid 47.8% vs Celebrini 48.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor McDavid leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone Celebrini 50.9%
Defensive zone McDavid 53.3%
Neutral zone Celebrini 50.4%
Result Connor McDavid favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
McDavid Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
15 - 9 (24 meetings)
15
9
McDavid Celebrini
Last 10: McDavid 7-3 Celebrini

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
4
McDavid Celebrini
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
3
McDavid Celebrini
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
9
2
McDavid Celebrini
11 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McDavid
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
47.7% (1,825)
+0.0%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
53.8% (247)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
55.6% (36)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +12.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Celebrini is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,444).
Home / Away
McDavid
Celebrini
Home
49.3% (4,570)
47.7% (1,076)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
49.4% (1,032)
By Period
McDavid
Celebrini
P1
46.5%
47.2%
P2
48.7%
46.9%
P3
48.3%
51.5%
OT
40.9%
47.4%
Final 5 min
50.1%
47.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%
50.0%
47.7%
Celebrini
48.0%
46.0%
48.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 17, 2026 3 13:35 Offensive Macklin Celebrini
Mar 17, 2026 3 13:10 Defensive Connor McDavid
Mar 17, 2026 3 11:39 Defensive Macklin Celebrini
Mar 17, 2026 3 11:26 Neutral Connor McDavid
Mar 17, 2026 3 08:12 Neutral Connor McDavid
Mar 17, 2026 3 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Mar 17, 2026 2 12:40 Defensive Connor McDavid
Mar 17, 2026 2 08:17 Neutral Connor McDavid
Mar 17, 2026 2 05:44 Offensive Macklin Celebrini
Mar 17, 2026 1 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Feb 28, 2026 1 08:05 Defensive Connor McDavid
Jan 29, 2026 3 01:34 Neutral Macklin Celebrini
Jan 29, 2026 2 06:42 Neutral Connor McDavid
Jan 29, 2026 2 01:15 Offensive Macklin Celebrini
Jan 29, 2026 2 00:49 Defensive Connor McDavid
Jan 29, 2026 1 19:46 Defensive Connor McDavid
Jan 29, 2026 1 17:07 Neutral Connor McDavid
Jan 29, 2026 1 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Dec 21, 2024 3 07:28 Defensive Macklin Celebrini
Dec 21, 2024 1 16:01 Neutral Connor McDavid