Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs McLeod 56.6% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 73.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 86.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 68.0%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
McDavid
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
McDavid
McLeod
Last 10: McDavid 7-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
0
McDavid
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
4
McDavid
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
0
McDavid
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
58.3% (859)
-4.0%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
50.0% (28)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
53.0% (168)
-19.7%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
McDavid shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Home / Away
McDavid
McLeod
Home
53.6% (507)
55.3% (526)
Away
53.8% (539)
59.2% (529)
By Period
McDavid
McLeod
P1
52.6%
60.7%
P2
54.1%
55.9%
P3
54.9%
55.2%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 14:57 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 14:41 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 14:12 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 00:55 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |