Connor McDavid vs Nicklas Backstrom
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Backstrom 50.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 26-20 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 60.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 60.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 61.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
McDavid
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
26
(46 meetings)
20
26
McDavid
Backstrom
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
3
McDavid
Backstrom
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
9
McDavid
Backstrom
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
12
14
McDavid
Backstrom
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
50.4% (11,581)
-2.7%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
52.3% (1,895)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
47.0% (889)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Backstrom is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (8,966).
Home / Away
McDavid
Backstrom
Home
49.3% (4,570)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
McDavid
Backstrom
P1
46.5%
50.1%
P2
48.7%
49.7%
P3
48.3%
51.6%
OT
40.9%
52.9%
Final 5 min
50.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2022 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 2 | 01:28 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 04:25 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 08:54 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 3 | 09:34 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 2 | 04:07 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |