Connor McDavid vs Nicklas Backstrom
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Backstrom 46.9% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 62.4%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 62.3%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 61.1%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
McDavid
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
McDavid
Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
McDavid
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
47.0% (541)
+7.3%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
47.4% (95)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
15.4% (13)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Backstrom is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
McDavid
Backstrom
Home
53.6% (507)
48.5% (328)
Away
53.8% (539)
44.2% (321)
By Period
McDavid
Backstrom
P1
52.6%
44.8%
P2
54.1%
42.9%
P3
54.9%
50.9%
OT
44.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.2%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2022 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 2 | 01:28 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |