Connor McDavid vs Nicklas Backstrom
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Backstrom 51.1% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 59.9%
Defensive zone
McDavid 61.8%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 52.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
McDavid
Backstrom
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
53.2% (77)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
50.0% (6)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
0.0% (1)
+36.4%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Backstrom is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
McDavid
Backstrom
Home
51.8% (415)
54.5% (55)
Away
50.4% (450)
48.3% (29)
By Period
McDavid
Backstrom
P1
47.5%
50.0%
P2
51.6%
52.9%
P3
55.5%
55.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%