Connor McDavid vs Nicklas Backstrom
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). McDavid wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 42.2% vs Backstrom 51.1% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 78.0%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 69.6%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 76.4%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 76.4%
23.6%
76.4%
McDavid
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McDavid
Backstrom
Last 6: McDavid 4-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
2
McDavid
Backstrom
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (855)
51.0% (1,104)
-9.6%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
54.5% (178)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (31)
47.2% (89)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. McDavid is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
McDavid shoots left. Backstrom is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
McDavid
Backstrom
Home
42.8% (451)
52.6% (705)
Away
40.0% (458)
49.7% (666)
By Period
McDavid
Backstrom
P1
38.0%
51.1%
P2
44.9%
51.0%
P3
41.7%
51.4%
OT
20.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
47.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.4%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 17:55 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |