Connor McDavid vs Oliver Kapanen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 47.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.7% vs Kapanen 48.0% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 52.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 52.3%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 55.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
McDavid
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McDavid
Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Kapanen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Kapanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (8,248)
48.1% (495)
-0.5%
Power Play
52.8% (362)
50.0% (48)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (274)
37.5% (32)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,081).
McDavid shoots left. Kapanen is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kapanen
Home
49.3% (4,495)
47.2% (299)
Away
46.1% (4,389)
48.2% (276)
By Period
McDavid
Kapanen
P1
46.4%
42.0%
P2
48.7%
51.4%
P3
48.3%
49.2%
OT
40.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
47.7%
Kapanen
58.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |