Connor McDavid vs Patrice Bergeron
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McDavid wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 52.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 66.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 63.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
McDavid
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
McDavid
Bergeron
Last 10: McDavid 4-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
4
McDavid
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
McDavid
Bergeron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
6
2
McDavid
Bergeron
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
62.5% (1,109)
-11.0%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
62.2% (352)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
53.5% (245)
-2.3%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. McDavid is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (357).
McDavid shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
McDavid
Bergeron
Home
50.7% (513)
61.9% (917)
Away
53.2% (498)
60.2% (789)
By Period
McDavid
Bergeron
P1
52.3%
60.8%
P2
51.6%
60.3%
P3
51.7%
63.0%
OT
100.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
56.5%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:03 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |