Connor McDavid vs Patrice Bergeron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 40-25 in 65 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 95.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 97.5%
Neutral zone
McDavid 97.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 97.1%
97.1%
2.9%
McDavid
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
40
(65 meetings)
25
40
McDavid
Bergeron
Last 10: McDavid 4-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
9
McDavid
Bergeron
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
10
14
McDavid
Bergeron
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
12
17
McDavid
Bergeron
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
60.1% (13,938)
-12.4%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
60.8% (3,213)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
53.0% (2,776)
-9.6%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,105).
McDavid shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Home / Away
McDavid
Bergeron
Home
49.3% (4,570)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
McDavid
Bergeron
P1
46.5%
59.3%
P2
48.7%
60.0%
P3
48.3%
58.6%
OT
40.9%
57.9%
Final 5 min
50.1%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:03 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |