Connor McDavid vs Philipp Kurashev
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Kurashev 47.3% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 63.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 85.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 65.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
McDavid
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McDavid
Kurashev
Last 5: McDavid 4-1 Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kurashev
0
1
McDavid
Kurashev
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
0
McDavid
Kurashev
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
46.3% (203)
+5.3%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
49.1% (57)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
35.7% (14)
+0.7%
On even strength, McDavid has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Kurashev is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kurashev
Home
51.8% (415)
45.0% (140)
Away
50.4% (450)
47.8% (134)
By Period
McDavid
Kurashev
P1
47.5%
51.9%
P2
51.6%
44.3%
P3
55.5%
43.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |