Connor McDavid vs Philipp Kurashev
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kurashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Kurashev 46.9% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 65.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 60.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 55.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
McDavid
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McDavid
Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Kurashev
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (650)
50.0% (46)
-2.5%
Power Play
48.6% (72)
40.7% (27)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
0.0% (6)
+46.5%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. McDavid is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (554).
McDavid shoots left. Kurashev is 30.4% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kurashev
Home
50.2% (400)
37.5% (40)
Away
44.7% (365)
48.7% (39)
By Period
McDavid
Kurashev
P1
47.5%
48.6%
P2
48.6%
40.0%
P3
46.7%
37.9%
Final 5 min
51.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |