Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). McDavid wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.0% vs Faksa 50.3% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 88.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 51.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 64.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
McDavid
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
McDavid
Faksa
Last 8: McDavid 2-6 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
McDavid
Faksa
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
1
5
McDavid
Faksa
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (862)
50.3% (915)
-3.4%
Power Play
42.1% (38)
46.2% (52)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
52.1% (165)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Faksa has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. McDavid is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (588).
McDavid shoots left. Faksa is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Home / Away
McDavid
Faksa
Home
47.9% (478)
50.1% (561)
Away
45.2% (440)
50.6% (571)
By Period
McDavid
Faksa
P1
45.9%
45.2%
P2
47.7%
53.0%
P3
46.6%
52.4%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.6%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 16:13 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |