Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Faksa 56.2% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 80.6%
Defensive zone
Faksa 65.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 55.2%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
McDavid
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McDavid
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
McDavid
Faksa
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Faksa
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
56.9% (671)
-9.2%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
85.7% (7)
-33.8%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
55.0% (80)
-32.8%
On power play, Faksa has a +33.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Faksa is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
McDavid
Faksa
Home
47.3% (387)
59.5% (375)
Away
48.1% (389)
54.6% (383)
By Period
McDavid
Faksa
P1
47.6%
61.2%
P2
50.0%
54.5%
P3
45.0%
55.5%
Final 5 min
46.8%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |