Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Faksa 52.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Faksa leads 30-23 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 87.4%
Defensive zone
Faksa 50.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 72.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
McDavid
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
30
(53 meetings)
23
30
McDavid
Faksa
Last 10: McDavid 4-6 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
6
4
McDavid
Faksa
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
5
13
McDavid
Faksa
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
12
13
McDavid
Faksa
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
52.8% (6,681)
-5.1%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
57.7% (291)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
49.3% (1,372)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Faksa has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Faksa is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Home / Away
McDavid
Faksa
Home
49.3% (4,570)
52.9% (4,092)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
51.9% (4,252)
By Period
McDavid
Faksa
P1
46.5%
53.0%
P2
48.7%
52.5%
P3
48.3%
52.0%
OT
40.9%
45.3%
Final 5 min
50.1%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 10:59 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 07:59 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 16:13 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |