Scouting Report
Rickard Rakell holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rakell on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McDavid wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 42.5% vs Rakell 44.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rakell 63.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 50.9%
Neutral zone
Rakell 60.0%
Result
Rickard Rakell favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
McDavid
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McDavid
Rakell
Last 6: McDavid 4-2 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Rakell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
1
2
McDavid
Rakell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Rakell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (578)
43.7% (423)
-3.0%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
45.5% (22)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
33.3% (6)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. McDavid is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
McDavid shoots left. Rakell is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
McDavid
Rakell
Home
42.7% (323)
46.1% (180)
Away
39.5% (281)
42.1% (271)
By Period
McDavid
Rakell
P1
42.3%
47.7%
P2
37.3%
37.6%
P3
43.4%
46.0%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
36.8%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.2%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 01:53 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |