Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Rakell 48.0% (+8.1%)
Offensive zone
Rakell 60.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 69.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 55.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
McDavid
Rakell
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
45.3% (75)
+9.0%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
50.0% (4)
-5.2%
On even strength, McDavid has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
McDavid shoots left. Rakell is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
McDavid
Rakell
Home
53.6% (507)
45.7% (46)
Away
53.8% (539)
45.5% (33)
By Period
McDavid
Rakell
P1
52.6%
33.3%
P2
54.1%
40.0%
P3
54.9%
63.6%
OT
44.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
45.6%